Chapecoense-scvs
Internacional
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 9/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Internacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chapecoense-sc 1-2 Internacional
Original prediction
Internacional
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.26 | 28.8% | 28.9% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 28.1% | 27.3% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 43.1% | 43.8% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Internacional
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Internacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80