CF Montrealvs
Nashville SC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/24/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nashville SC · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-3 (13%), 0-4 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CF Montreal 0-2 Nashville SC
Original prediction
Nashville SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.51 | 17.1% | 20.9% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.35 | 21.6% | 23.8% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.53 | 61.4% | 55.4% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–313%
- 3.0–49%
Predicted outcome
Nashville SC
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
55.4%
Nashville SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40