CF Montrealvs
Charlotte
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/9/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlotte · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CF Montreal 1-2 Charlotte
Original prediction
Charlotte
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 40.4% | 24.5% | -15.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 25.2% | 20.0% | -5.3 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 34.4% | 55.5% | 21.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
21.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Charlotte
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
Charlotte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00