Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cesena · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cesena 1-1 Sampdoria
Original prediction
Cesena
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Cesena
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Cesena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CesenaLDWWW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
SampdoriaLWLDW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
CesenaSampdoria
39.3Attack45.3
59.0Defence55.6
45.3Form48.7
50.1Power51.9
1.11xG1.02