Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wanderers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cerro 0-0 Wanderers, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cerro 0-2 Wanderers
Original prediction
Wanderers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.72 | 33.5% | 27.2% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.7% | 29.9% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 36.8% | 42.9% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Projected Score
Cerro 0–0 Wanderers
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Wanderers
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CerroDLLWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WanderersWLDDL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
CerroWanderers
25.6Attack41.9
52.2Defence55.9
36.7Form50.5
40.9Power50.9
0.70xG1.13