Cerrovs
Racing Montevideo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cerro 0-1 Racing Montevideo, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cerro 1-0 Racing Montevideo
Original prediction
Racing Montevideo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.25 | 21.5% | 13.6% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.9% | 28.2% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.88 | 48.6% | 58.2% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.6 pts
Projected Score
Cerro 0–1 Racing Montevideo
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Racing Montevideo
Probability
58.2%
Model confidence
58.2%
Racing Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40