Cerrovs
Cerro Largo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 10/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cerro 0-0 Cerro Largo, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cerro 1-1 Cerro Largo
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 12:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 40.2% | 31.6% | -8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 30.3% | 32.5% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 29.5% | 35.9% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.02 · Draw 2.02 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Projected Score
Cerro 0–0 Cerro Largo
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.5%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CerroWLDLL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cerro LargoLLWLL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
CerroCerro Largo
27.1Attack30.2
51.0Defence61.5
37.5Form34.4
41.3Power43.8
0.67xG0.81