Cerro Largovs
Liverpool Montevideo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 8/30/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Liverpool Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cerro Largo 0-0 Liverpool Montevideo, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cerro Largo 1-1 Liverpool Montevideo
Original prediction
Liverpool Montevideo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.37 | 27.0% | 26.6% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.9% | 31.4% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 43.1% | 42.1% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Projected Score
Cerro Largo 0–0 Liverpool Montevideo
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Liverpool Montevideo
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Liverpool Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 11 · GA 0 · avg 2.20/0.00