GGOALVIO

Cerro Largo logoCerro LargovsDefensor Sporting logoDefensor Sporting

SCHEDULED

Uruguay · Primera División · 8/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Cerro Largo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Defensor Sporting are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.3 against 48.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 30.5% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

30.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cerro LargoLDLWD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Defensor SportingLWLDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Cerro LargoDefensor Sporting
34.8Attack27.5
63.8Defence69.6
42.0Form39.1
48.3Power48.1
0.68xG0.54
View match centre →