Cerro Largovs
Central Espanol
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 9/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cerro Largo 0-0 Central Espanol, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cerro Largo 0-0 Central Espanol
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 37.6% | 37.6% | 0.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.91 | 31.4% | 31.6% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 31.0% | 30.8% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.91 · Draw 1.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Projected Score
Cerro Largo 0–0 Central Espanol
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Cerro LargoDLDLD
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Central EspanolWDWLL
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Cerro LargoCentral Espanol
34.6Attack37.0
63.0Defence59.3
39.5Form45.7
47.3Power49.2
0.90xG0.76