Cerro Largovs
Boston River
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 10/25/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cerro Largo 0-0 Boston River, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cerro Largo 2-0 Boston River
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 08:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 34.4% | 36.5% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 30.3% | 32.1% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 35.3% | 31.4% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Projected Score
Cerro Largo 0–0 Boston River
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.1%
Model confidence
36.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Cerro LargoLDLLW
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Boston RiverWDWDL
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Cerro LargoBoston River
30.3Attack33.3
61.6Defence56.6
34.3Form37.4
43.9Power44.4
0.84xG0.70