Cerro Largovs
Albion FC
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 10/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cerro Largo 0-0 Albion FC, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cerro Largo 0-1 Albion FC
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 38.3% | 34.7% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.8% | 30.3% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.86 | 31.8% | 35.0% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Projected Score
Cerro Largo 0–0 Albion FC
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.3%
Model confidence
35.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Cerro LargoLWLLD
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Albion FCWLLDL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Cerro LargoAlbion FC
31.2Attack44.1
61.3Defence54.8
35.5Form39.8
44.4Power47.7
0.89xG0.94