Central Espanolvs
Progreso
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Central Espanol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Central Espanol are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Progreso are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Central Espanol hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely result in the Primera División, favouring Central Espanol with 19.8% confidence, a 31% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Central Espanol
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
19.8%
Central Espanol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40