Central Espanolvs
Oriental
COMPLETEDUruguay · Copa Uruguay · 9/17/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Central Espanol · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Central Espanol 1-1 Oriental
Original prediction
Central Espanol
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.1% | 38.4% | -15.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.4% | 28.1% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 4.62 | 19.5% | 33.5% | 14.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Central Espanol
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Central Espanol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20