Central Espanolvs
Liverpool Montevideo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 9/27/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Liverpool Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Central Espanol 0-0 Liverpool Montevideo, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Central Espanol 1-2 Liverpool Montevideo
Original prediction
Liverpool Montevideo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.03 | 22.6% | 25.8% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.3% | 30.5% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.85 | 49.1% | 43.7% | -5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.4 pts
Projected Score
Central Espanol 0–0 Liverpool Montevideo
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Liverpool Montevideo
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Liverpool Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80