Central Espanolvs
Juventud
SCHEDULEDUruguay · Primera División · 8/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Central Espanol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Central Espanol are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Juventud are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Central Espanol hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 43.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.4% in the Primera División, while Central Espanol holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Central Espanol
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
15.4%
Central Espanol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00