Central Espanolvs
Danubio
COMPLETEDUruguay · Copa Uruguay · 10/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Central Espanol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Central Espanol 0-6 Danubio
Original prediction
Central Espanol
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 33.9% | 41.7% | 7.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.96 | 30.6% | 28.8% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.5% | 29.5% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Central Espanol
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Central Espanol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00