Central Espanolvs
Atletico Torque
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 9/21/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Torque · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Central Espanol 1-4 Atletico Torque
Original prediction
Atletico Torque
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.01 | 22.7% | 24.2% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.3% | 26.9% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 1.86 | 49.0% | 48.9% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Torque
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Atletico Torque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80