GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 8/27/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Central Córdoba SdE Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Central Córdoba SdE Res. 2-1 Ferro 2

Original prediction

Central Córdoba SdE Res.

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9845.4%37.8%-7.5 pts
Draw3.1628.4%29.6%1.2 pts
Away3.4226.2%32.6%6.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.98 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–014%
  3. 3.1–012%

Predicted outcome

Central Córdoba SdE Res.

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

37.8%

Central Córdoba SdE Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Central Córdoba SdE Res.WLDDL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Ferro 2LLLDW

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Central Córdoba SdE Res.Ferro 2
33.3Attack34.8
46.4Defence50.7
34.8Form37.7
40.2Power42.6
1.05xG1.03
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