Argentina · Reserve League · 9/22/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlético Tucumán Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Central Córdoba SdE Res. 0-1 Atlético Tucumán Res.
Original prediction
Atlético Tucumán Res.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 37.7% | 35.1% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.0% | 29.0% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.68 | 33.2% | 35.9% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Atlético Tucumán Res.
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Atlético Tucumán Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00