CDS Tampico Maderovs
Venados FC
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CDS Tampico Madero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CDS Tampico Madero 4-3 Venados FC
Original prediction
CDS Tampico Madero
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 50.7% | 37.9% | -12.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.4% | 24.7% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.83 | 23.9% | 37.4% | 13.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
CDS Tampico Madero
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
CDS Tampico Madero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60