CDS Tampico Maderovs
Venados FC
SCHEDULEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
CDS Tampico Madero are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Venados FC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Venados FC hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 74.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Liga de Expansión MX, favouring a draw with 13.6% confidence, a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
28.4%
Model confidence
13.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20