GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

CDS Tampico Madero are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Venados FC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Venados FC hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 74.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Liga de Expansión MX, favouring a draw with 13.6% confidence, a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

28.4%

Model confidence

13.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CDS Tampico MaderoWLDWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Venados FCWDWDW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CDS Tampico MaderoVenados FC
33.3Attack77.8
88.9Defence66.7
44.4Form77.8
54.9Power74.7
1.20xG1.45
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