CDS Tampico Maderovs
Dorados
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorados · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CDS Tampico Madero 1-1 Dorados
Original prediction
Dorados
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 57.8% | 34.4% | -23.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 23.3% | 21.8% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.81 | 19.0% | 43.8% | 24.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.92 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
24.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Dorados
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60