CDS Tampico Maderovs
CA La Paz
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/25/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CDS Tampico Madero 1-3 CA La Paz
Original prediction
CA La Paz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 36.5% | 24.0% | -12.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.9% | 23.1% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 37.6% | 52.9% | 15.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60