Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Savoia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Casertana are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Savoia have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Savoia hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Coppa Italia Serie C, while Savoia holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Savoia
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
14.2%
Savoia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00