Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Benfica · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Casa Pia 0-7 Benfica
Original prediction
Benfica
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Benfica
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Benfica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Casa PiaLLLWW
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BenficaDDWWW
GF 19 · GA 5 · avg 3.80/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Casa PiaBenfica
37.3Attack66.7
51.0Defence33.3
37.3Form33.3
42.7Power45.3
1.18xG1.33