Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carrarese · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Carrarese 1-2 Mantova
Original prediction
Carrarese
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Carrarese
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Carrarese has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CarrareseLWLLD
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MantovaWLWWW
GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CarrareseMantova
34.2Attack41.2
57.0Defence50.9
39.5Form38.6
45.8Power45.9
1.08xG0.97