Cardiffvs
Swindon Town
COMPLETEDEngland · League Cup · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cardiff · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cardiff 3-2 Swindon Town
Original prediction
Cardiff
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Cardiff
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Cardiff has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CardiffWWWLL
GF 19 · GA 14 · avg 3.80/2.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Swindon TownWWLLL
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CardiffSwindon Town
77.8Attack33.3
11.1Defence66.7
44.4Form33.3
45.9Power45.3
1.77xG1.50