Cardiffvs
Sheffield Utd
COMPLETEDEngland · Championship · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cardiff · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cardiff 2-2 Sheffield Utd
Original prediction
Cardiff
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.71 | 34.6% | 37.7% | 3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.7% | 28.1% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 38.7% | 34.3% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.51 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Cardiff
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Cardiff has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20