Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Norwich · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cardiff 1-2 Norwich
Original prediction
Norwich
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Norwich
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Norwich has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CardiffDDWWW
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
NorwichLLWDL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CardiffNorwich
77.8Attack33.3
11.1Defence77.8
44.4Form66.7
45.9Power62.6
1.49xG1.49