Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cardiff · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Cardiff
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Cardiff has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CardiffWLDLL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BurnleyDLDLD
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
CardiffBurnley
41.7Attack37.5
50.0Defence29.2
29.2Form16.7
42.4Power31.1
1.88xG1.03