GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Venados FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cancún are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Venados FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Venados FC hold a 40.1-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Venados FC

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Venados FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CancúnWLLLW

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Venados FCLWDWD

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CancúnVenados FC
16.7Attack66.7
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form58.3
13.2Power53.2
1.45xG1.95
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