Cancúnvs
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
SCHEDULEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cancún are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cruz Azul Hidalgo are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (LDD), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cruz Azul Hidalgo hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 32.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Liga de Expansión MX, favouring a draw with 13.5% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
28.4%
Model confidence
13.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.33/1.33