GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alebrijes de Oaxaca · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cancún are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alebrijes de Oaxaca hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Alebrijes de Oaxaca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CancúnWLLLW

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Alebrijes de OaxacaWWLLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CancúnAlebrijes de Oaxaca
16.7Attack25.0
0.0Defence58.3
0.0Form50.0
13.2Power46.7
1.21xG1.39
View match centre →