Campobasso FCvs
Scafatese
COMPLETEDItaly · Coppa Italia Serie C · 9/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Campobasso FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Campobasso FC 1-1 Scafatese
Original prediction
Campobasso FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.1% | 41.7% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.7% | 28.2% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.69 | 24.3% | 30.2% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.24 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Campobasso FC
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Campobasso FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00