GGOALVIO

England · League Cup · 8/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cambridge United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Cambridge United are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Millwall are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Cambridge United hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the League Cup, while Cambridge United holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cambridge United

Probability

52.4%

Model confidence

11.6%

Cambridge United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cambridge UnitedWDDWW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MillwallDWDLL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Cambridge UnitedMillwall
66.7Attack0.0
33.3Defence0.0
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power7.0
1.88xG1.17
View match centre →