Cailungovs
Pennarossa
COMPLETEDSan-Marino · Coppa Titano · 10/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pennarossa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cailungo 1-4 Pennarossa
Original prediction
Pennarossa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.54 | 25.4% | 28.2% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.1% | 27.4% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.82 | 49.4% | 44.4% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Pennarossa
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Pennarossa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80