GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CA La Paz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Venados FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CA La Paz

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

50.9%

CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA La PazWWLLD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Venados FCLWDWD

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CA La PazVenados FC
75.0Attack66.7
58.3Defence33.3
50.0Form58.3
57.9Power53.2
2.18xG1.43
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