Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
CA La Paz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tlaxcala are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 39.5-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
66.8%
Model confidence
66.8%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80