CA La Pazvs
Mineros de Zacatecas
SCHEDULEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
CA La Paz are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (47.7 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Liga de Expansión MX, favouring a draw with 9.5% confidence, a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
23.8%
Model confidence
9.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60