CA La Pazvs
Mineros de Zacatecas
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CA La Paz 3-0 Mineros de Zacatecas
Original prediction
CA La Paz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.7% | 46.3% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.7% | 22.9% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 29.6% | 30.8% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60