CA La Pazvs
Correcaminos Uat
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CA La Paz 3-1 Correcaminos Uat
Original prediction
CA La Paz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 58.7% | 59.9% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.29 | 21.3% | 19.1% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 4.56 | 20.0% | 21.0% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
59.9%
Model confidence
59.9%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00