Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bylis · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bylis 2-2 Pogradeci
Original prediction
Bylis
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 37.4% | 38.1% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.0% | 28.7% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 33.5% | 33.2% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.12 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Bylis
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Bylis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BylisDWWDD
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PogradeciDWWDW
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
BylisPogradeci
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24