Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bylis · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bylis 1-0 FK Kukesi
Original prediction
Bylis
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.1% | 39.7% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.9% | 28.8% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.33 | 27.1% | 31.5% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Bylis
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Bylis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BylisWLWWW
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FK KukesiWLLWL
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
BylisFK Kukesi
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24