Burrelivs
Besëlidhja Lezhë
COMPLETEDAlbania · 1st Division · 10/11/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burreli · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Burreli 0-0 Besëlidhja Lezhë
Original prediction
Burreli
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 02:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.7% | 38.3% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.4% | 28.7% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 32.9% | 33.0% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.18 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Burreli
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Burreli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20