Bristol Roversvs
Swindon Town
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 10/24/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bristol Rovers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bristol Rovers 0-0 Swindon Town
Original prediction
Bristol Rovers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 58.0% | 42.0% | -16.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.06 | 22.9% | 28.4% | 5.5 pts |
| Away | 4.89 | 19.0% | 29.6% | 10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.06 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Bristol Rovers
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Bristol Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00