GGOALVIO

England · League Two · 8/22/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bristol Rovers · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Bristol Rovers are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Newport County are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bristol Rovers hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the League Two, while Bristol Rovers holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bristol Rovers

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

13.7%

Bristol Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bristol RoversLDWWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Newport CountyDWWLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Bristol RoversNewport County
40.6Attack44.9
52.9Defence44.9
44.9Form39.9
47.6Power44.6
1.45xG1.15
View match centre →