Bristol Roversvs
Barnet
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barnet · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bristol Rovers 1-3 Barnet
Original prediction
Barnet
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 06:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 41.2% | 34.1% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.6% | 27.8% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 32.3% | 38.2% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Barnet
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Barnet has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Bristol RoversLLWLL
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BarnetDWWDD
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Bristol RoversBarnet
51.9Attack81.0
48.1Defence52.4
55.6Form71.4
53.5Power70.1
1.50xG2.02