Bristol Cityvs
Sheffield Utd
COMPLETEDEngland · Championship · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bristol City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bristol City 0-1 Sheffield Utd
Original prediction
Bristol City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 46.5% | 39.9% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.7% | 25.9% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.49 | 26.8% | 34.1% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Bristol City
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Bristol City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40