GGOALVIO

England · Championship · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bristol City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Bristol City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Portsmouth are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bristol City hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Championship, while Bristol City holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bristol City

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

14.2%

Bristol City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bristol CityLLDDW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PortsmouthLLDDL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Bristol CityPortsmouth
38.4Attack42.0
63.0Defence48.6
44.9Form39.1
50.3Power44.6
1.29xG0.84
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