Bristol Cityvs
Blackburn
COMPLETEDEngland · Championship · 10/13/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bristol City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bristol City 0-1 Blackburn
Original prediction
Bristol City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 06:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 45.3% | 38.4% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.9% | 28.5% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.50 | 26.8% | 33.0% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Bristol City
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Bristol City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60