Brightonvs
Aston Villa
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League · 8/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aston Villa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brighton 4-0 Aston Villa
Original prediction
Aston Villa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Aston Villa
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Aston Villa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BrightonDWWWL
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Aston VillaLLLWL
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
BrightonAston Villa
48.2Attack66.7
45.6Defence46.5
42.1Form59.6
46.1Power57.6
1.61xG2.07